国际金融危机背景下的南宁市房地产市场供需量预测分析

The Analysis and Predict of Real Estate Market of Nanning in the Background of International Financial Crisis

国际金融危机对我国房地产市场造成较为严重的冲击,南宁市房地产市场也出现了一些波动。通过运用GM(1,1)模型,采用定性与定量相结合的方法分析可知:近期南宁市房地产市场供给量将呈现稳中有增趋势,长远来看全市房地产市场供给量增加是必然的;而市场需求量近期将呈现下降趋势,长远来看全市房地产刚性需求是巨大的。为此政府与房地产开发企业应积极采取措施,防患于未然。

international financial crisis severely strike the real estate market of China, because of this, the real estate market situations of Nanning dropped evidently, this paper apply the regression GM （1,1） methods to the demands, supplies and prices of Nanning real estate market qualitatively and quantitatively in current economy situation, finally, putting forward some pertinence measures from the aspect of government and enterprise