基于时间指标的P&R换乘需求预测研究

The Study on Demand Estimation for Time-index-based Park-and-Ride

城市外围停车换乘需求预测是停车换乘系统规划设计的重要组成部分,也是规划设计的基础和依据。以距离为指标划定P&R设施吸引范围在山区城市有一定的局限性,文章基于山区地形、居民分布、路网等因素考虑,提出了基于时间指标划分吸引范围的方法,并且通过依据交通方式选择影响因素的相关研究,建立了换乘轻轨、公共汽车、继续使用小汽车的多项logit选择模型。

Estimation of the demand of park-and-ride in the suburban area is the basis of the park-and-ride system programming.However,there are certain limits in defining the service zone according to the distance.Taking the landscape features of the mountain region,distribution of the population and the highway network into account,this paper proposes a new method of defining the service zone based on the time-index.Moreover,according to the relative studies of identifying the service zone by the ways of transportation,the article establishes a multiple logit choices model which includes park-and-seek subway,bus and continual use of cars.