中国粮食基本自给的关税保护

On the Tariff Protection under the Circumstanceof China's Basic Reliance on herself in Grain

在世界贸易组织确定的贸易原则下，中国粮食要坚持９５％自给必须借助关税来隔开中国粮食供求与世界粮食市场的联系。所需关税税率将逐年增长，由现阶段不需要关税保护逐步增长到２０３０年前后的１３０％。在这一关税政策保护下，中国粮食贸易量到２０３０年均可维持在３...

Abstract The model simulation shows that those that actually receive benefits from China's tariff protection in grain are not domestic grain producers and the state for the safety of its grain, but importers of other countries of the world, because if China , as a big power, realizes free trade in grain, although China's grain producers and consumers will directly trade at international market prices,the increase in China's import of grain will push the prices up of grains in the international markets, which actually spells an automatic imposition of import tariff As a result, the domestic grain production will not be greatly reduced because of the practice of free trade, nor will domestic consumers increase grain consumption by a big margin for the same reason, nor will, therefore, the rate of China's self-reliance in grain greatly be lowered Hence the outcome of tariff protection for China's grain trade will be nothing but the maintenance of low grain prices in the international market, greatly advantaging grain importing countries other than China; and will be essentially meaningless to China's grain producers and consumers and the security of the state-owned grain.