南京地区医疗服务需要与需求量预测模型比较

A Comparison of Needs and Demands of Medical Service in Nanjing and Prediction Based on Models

在实证调查的基础上,综合多种因素构建不同模型,从医疗服务需方出发,测算出未来14年居民对医疗服务的需要和需求量,并比较分析了不同模型之间的差异,为政府科学合理地配置医疗资源提供现实依据,以保证医疗服务的公平和效率。

Based on an empirical investigation, different models were created, which were used to predict people＇s needs and demands to medical service in the next 14 years. Differences between different models were analyzed. This study provide evidence for the government＇ s rational allocation of medical resources, so as to ensure the faimess and efficiency of the medical service.