FDI与中国产业结构变迁:协整检验与分析

FDI and China's Industrial Structure Change:Co-integration Testing and Analysis

本文用古典主义一般均衡模型来阐述FDI与产业结构变迁的关系,然后重点通过建立FDI与三次产业就业结构和产值结构的协整模型,从长期动态均衡角度探讨了FDI对中国产业结构变迁的影响。研究表明,FDI有利推动了我国就业的"非农化",推动了第二产业尤其是制造业的长足发展,但对第三产业的影响力不足。

This paper expounds the relationship between FDI and industrial structure change by a neoclassical general equilibrium model. Then, through establishing the co-integration model about FDI and the employment structure of three industrise as well as the output value structure, it studies the influences of FDI on the change of China＇s industrial structure from the perspective of long-term dynamic equilibrium. Result shows that FDI helps to promote the employment of non-farm in China and the industrial upgrading,but it has few influences on the tertiary industry.