影响深圳市GDP增长的因素分析

Factors Analysis of GDP Growth in Shenzhen

对1979年到2006年深圳市的GDP与实际利用外资额、工业增加值、净出口和社会消费品零售总额的有关统计数据进行多元线性回归分析和自回归分析.结果表明:影响深圳市GDP增长的主要因素是工业增加值、社会消费品零售总额和净出口,而实际利用外资额只是次要因素.这结果可为深圳市制订经济发展计划提供决策参考.

Multiple linear regression and autoregression analyses were carried out on correlative statistical data of GDP, industrial added value, net exports, total retail sales of consumer goods, and actual utilized foreign capital in Shenzhen from 1979 to 2006. It shows that the main factors impacted on the increasing GDP in Shenzhen are industrial added value, total retail sales of consumer goods and net exports, but the actual utilized foreign capital is just a minor factor. This conclusion can afford a reference for Shenzhen to make its economic development target.