油田监测指标预测开发指标系统设计及应用

本文在对油田单井监测指标数据分析的基础上,研究了油田区块测试指标的特征,根据其特征与统计预测,基于系统模拟原理,将油田区块测试指标作为系统输入,油田开发指标作为系统输出,得到了油田开发指标预测的新方法,并根据这一预测新方法设计了"油田监测指标预测开发指标软件系统"。利用该软件系统对大港油区几个区块进行实例预测,取得了很好的效果。为研究油田开发动态变化规律及预测提供了一种新的方法。

The features of oil field block monitoring indices were studied in this paper,which was based on the analysis of the single well monitoring indices.According to the features and statistic prediction,a new method for oil field development indices forecasting was employed basing on the principle of systemic simulation.The software, ＂Forecasting System for Oil Field Development Index with Monitoring Indices＂ ,was designed,which took the block monitoring indices as input and the development indices as output.This system was applied to some blocks in Dagang Oil Field for testing and achieved good results,which offered a new method for the oil field development dynamic variation regularity research and prediction.