基于品牌手机未来销量预测

Forecasting for the Brand Mobile Phone Sales

本文是用灰色预测GM(1,1)模型,探讨了手机销售总数量动态变化,为手机生产提供参考。同时用灰色关联度,来计算总销售量对需要预测的品牌影响,以关联度作为权重,来预测目标品牌。结果表明,对手机销售数量的历史趋势拟合程度较高,所以用此预测模型预测,具有一定的参考价值。

This paper gives a gray prediction GM（ 1,1 ） model, and talks over the total number of mobile phone sales of dynamic change,provides a reference for handset manufactures.At the same time,the gray relational grade is used to forecast the impact of correlation as a weight, to predict the target brand. The results showed that sales of mobile phones fitted a higher degree of historical trends,the prediction model used in this forecast is effective.