“同舟共济”与适应性变革:经济增长、权力转移及中美关系

Cooperating in a Time of Troubles and Adaptation to Changes:China's Choices in the Light of Financial Crisis

由于经济增长的差异,新兴市场日益崛起,亚太地区日益崛起,其中中国崛起尤为瞩目。纵观权力转移历史、理论与现实,中国积极寻求融入当前美国主导的国际制度安排,在战略上是正确的,中国成为这一制度的得利较多者,也是满意者和维护者。因此综合长期战略和当前金融危机冲击下的策略,除了积极推动美国对当前制度进行适应性变革外,对于美国目前的困境,中国应该量力积极帮助,共同促进全球经济早日复苏和全球善治,与美国"同舟共济"符合中国战略利益,中国需要战略规划;同时,需要面向未来,准备好美国经济复苏后的策略变化。美国凭其发达的金融业在全球财富再分配中占领制高点,金融业的发展意味着可以在财富的再分配中获得竞争优势,因此中国需要大力发展现代金融业。

Sustainable economic growth and environmental governance are the two biggest challenges facing post-Olympic China. In order to keep environmental governance on track with the primary objective of sustainable economic growth, China has to change its traditional mode of development. For this particular scenario, Japan＇s experiences on building its post-Olympic economy are useful. Following Tokyo Olympics in 1964, Japan successfully restructured its economic structure, which endowed its economy the capacity to withstand the two oil shocks in the 1970s. Moreover, during the same period of time, Japan has sustained consistent growth in external demands on the one side, and transiting into an energy-saving and environmentallyfriendly society on the other. At the cessation of Japan＇ s ODA to China, both countries can advance environmental governance in China by institutionalizing bilateral cooperation in the area. The countries can achieve a ＂win-win＂ situation through shared foundations and through a marketdriven approach by strengthening their energy-saving sectors and bilateral trade relations.