摘要
以陕西省1995—2008年间的相关资料为例,运用ADF、协整分析、格兰杰因果关系检验方法检验陕西省居民生活用电与经济增长的相互影响关系,建立两者之间的协整回归方程。结果表明,居民生活用电量每增加1%,实际GDP增长1.557%,居民生活用电是经济发展的单向格兰杰原因。
Based on the data from 1995 to 2008 of Shaanxi province, an equation regression between the household electricity and economic growth is established to analyze their correlation by using ADF, Co-integration and Granger causality. The results obtained show that an increase of 1% in the resideatial electricity consumption leads to an increase of 1. 5570/6o in real GDP. The household electricity is the single Granger causality to the economic development.
关键词
居民生活用电
经济增长
ADF检验
协整检验
格兰杰因果关系检验
residential electricity comsumption
economic growth
ADF test
Co-integration test
Granger causality test