基于国际金融中心建设目标的上海金融人力资源评估与总量需求预测

A Study on Human Resource Needs in Shanghai Financial Industry for the Construction of a Global Financial Centre

金融行业人力资源的存量和发展状况决定了国际金融中心城市的综合竞争力和可持续发展能力。本文用历史数据趋势分析和与香港、纽约等主要标杆国际金融中心城市横向比较的方法,构建了上海金融人力资源需求总量的预测模型。在评估上海金融人力资源现状和与香港、纽约的金融人力资源总量和人均贡献进行国际比较的基础上,预测了上海至2020年建成国际金融中心对金融人力资源总量的需求,计算和分析了金融人才需求的总量和结构缺口。对未来十几年上海金融人力资源建设提供了参考的目标。

The paper studies financial human resource demands for shanghai g objective of becoming a global financial centre. The authors set up a theoretical model for forecasting personnel needs for shanghai financial industry, based on a longitudinal data analysis and a benchmark analysis of comparable global financial centers, Hong Kong and New York City. The paper predicts the total human resource needs using the model, identifies the gap between needs and supply. The conclusions provide a direction for shanghai to develop its financial human resources and fulfill its objective of becoming a global financial centre.