基于灰色关联理论的FDI对我国产业结构升级影响实证分析

Empirical Analysis of the Influence of FDI on Chinese Industrial Structure Upgrading Based on Gray Correlation Theory

在经济开放度越来越高的今天,一国产业结构的升级已不单单依靠内部力量的推动,外部因素同样重要。利用灰色关联理论分析FDI在各行业的投资对三次产业结构变动产生的影响,得出结论:外商直接投资与三次产业之间的关联度最大的行业为农、林、牧、渔业;房地产业、社会服务业、教育行业和制造业FDI与三次产业之间的关联度较大;批发零售、卫生体育和建筑业FDI与三次产业的关联度不高;电力、煤气及水的生产和供应业,交通运输、仓储及邮电通信业和其他行业FDI与三次产业的关联度较小;采掘业与三次产业的关联度最小。

Today with the increasing development of economic opening-up, the industrial structure of one country does not depended on the promotion of domestic power only, the foreign factors are also important. Through analyzing the influence of FDI （foreign direct investment） on three changes of industrial structure by gray correlation theory, on the correlation between FDI and three industries, this paper concludes that the industries with the largest correlation are agriculture, forest, livestock, and fishing; those with larger correlation are estate, social service, education and manufacturing; those with low correlation are wholesale and retail, public health and sports, and construction industry; those with lower correlation are production and supply of power, gas and water, transportation, storage, and post and communication industry, and others; and those with the lowest correlation axe extractive industry and tertiary industry.