基于投入-产出理论的宁波物流业产业特性分析

Ninbo logistics industry characteristics analysis basing on input-output theory

本文运用投入产出分析方法,研究了物流业在国民经济中的作用,通过对2002年宁波投入产出表的计算分析,定量研究了物流业的产业特性,物流业对国民经济各部门的影响力系数、感应度系数、物流业的前向与后向波及效应。本文研究的结论表明:宁波物流业的影响力高于感应力,适宜采取主动发展模式;大部分的物流服务产品被国民经济各部门用作中间产品投入生产消费,物流业与其他产业的前向相关性比较强,对其他产业发展产生很大的推动作用等一系列相应结论。

This thesis utilizes the input –outPut an alysis method,studies the contribution of logistics industry in the national economy, using the 2002 inPut --outPut tables of Ningbo,Quantitatively analysis the industrial characteristic of logistics industry. ComPutes the influence coeffieient sensitivity coeffieient of logistics industry to the various branches and sectors of national economy,and then ComPutes the forward、backward effect of the logistics industry.The conclusions of this thesis indicates that,The logistics industry in Ningbo belongs to the between Product foundation industry, the logistics industry influence is higher than the sensitivity, being suitable adopts the initiative development pattern.Most of the logistics products are used to the economy development as between product,the link is strong between logistics and other sectors,it has great influence to the development of other sectors.