印度经济发展方式转变的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis to the Shift of India's Economic Development Paradigm

上个世纪五十年代以来,印度经济在经过调整和改革之后,成为目前世界上发展速度最快的经济体之一。深入地研究印度经济发展方式对我国目前发展方式转变有着很好的借鉴意义。作者从印度经济增长的源泉、经济增长的动力及其经济增长过程中产业结构变动情况等几个角度对印度经济发展方式做了一些数据分析。作者认为,技术导向和知识积累的集约型经济发展模式可以成为发展中国家经济发展的模式;一国经济总量的长期增长依赖于产业结构的升级和转化,发展中国家可以选择产业结构的跨越式发展。

Since 1950,with the economic adjustments and reforms,India becomes one of the economies that grow the fastest in the world. An in-depth study on the pattern of Indian economic development will give us some inspiration. In this paper,we empirically analyze the source and impetus of Indian economic growth,as well as the change in its industrial structure. We think that the technical-intensive and knowledge accumulation growth pattern could be the growth pattern of developing country. The long-term growth of an economy depends on industry upgrading and transmission. Frog-jump could be a choice of industrial upgrading for a developing country.