奥巴马“阿富巴”新战略及其面临的挑战

Obama’s New "Afpak" Strategy and the Challenges It Faces

面对阿富汗动荡局势长期化和塔利班势力在阿富汗、巴基斯坦边境地区日益坐大的趋势，及出于美国南亚战略的深层次考虑，奥巴马政府推出了“阿富巴”新战略。新战略的核心是，逐渐向阿富汗增兵强力打击恐怖势力以帮助阿富汗军警承担本国安全责任；强化阿富汗政权建设，以铲除塔利班与基地组织生存的社会基础。然而，阿巴边境的反恐行动能否奏效、阿富汗各级政权能否承担起责任以及南亚地区周边大国利益是否会碰撞，都是对奥巴马新战略的挑战。

Faced with the protracted disturbances in Afghanistan and a growing tendency of the Taliban force getting stronger in the border regions of Afghanistan and Pakistan, the Obama administration has to bring forth the new 'Afpak' strategy out of the deep-rooted consideration of the U.S. strategy in South Asia. The key points of that strategy are: gradually beefing up anti-terrorist military forces in order to make the Afghan army and police able to assume security duties; consolidating regime-building efforts in Afghanistan so as to root out social foundation of survival for the Taliban and Al Qaeda groups. Whether Afghan-Pakistani anti-terrorist action can make success, whether governmental mechanisms at all levels in Afghanistan are capable of undertaking their responsibilities and whether the interests of big powers in the periphery will collide with each other, will be a challenge to the Obama's new strategy.