金融危机下我国政府投资对民间投资的挤出效应——基于IS—LM模型

The Analysis of Crowding-out Effects of Government Investment on Private Investment Consumption in China——Based on the IS-LM Model

2008年受世界金融危机的影响,我国经济遭受了一定程度的冲击,严重影响出口。我国力求通过扩大内需的政策,稳定国内经济发展。然而,政府的大规模扩张性投资又会对民间投资产生影响,并且这种影响是不容忽视的。本文根据近些年的实际经济运行情况,探讨了我国政府投资对民间投资是否存在挤出效应这一重要问题,通过建立模型,分析挤出效应的影响因素,最后提出相关政策建议,以期政府能够很好地带动民间投资协调发展。

In 2008, our country＇s economy had suffered a certain degree of shock and seriously affected the export due to the world financial crisis. Our country wants to adopt the policy which could expand the domestic demand and stable the development of the domestic economic. However, the large-scale expansion of government investment would have the influence to the private investment, and this influence can not be ignored. This article draws the conclusion through established the model and analyzed the data, finally proposes the policy, so all hoped that the government investment can effectively stimulate private investment and coordinated development.