山西省人口城镇化与经济发展水平相关分析

The Correlation Analysis of Population Urbanization and Economic Development Level in Shanxi Province

通过对1990—2007年山西省人口与经济发展水平的统计数据的分析,得出山西省人口城镇化与经济发展水平的关系。先采用Pearson相关分析的方法分析了四组变量间相关关系的密切程度和相关方向,得出与人口城镇化相关的线性关系;再对具有高度相关关系的其他三组变量进行回归分析,并建立回归模型;最后,结合区域经济学的相关理论对计算结果作了简要分析。总结提出山西省应把产业结构优化作为今后一段时期的重点,以此来促进人口城镇化水平的提高。

This paper selects the statistical data of population and the economic development level in 1990-2007 and analyzes the relationship between the population of cities and towns and the level of economic development in Shanxi Province. At first, the article uses Pearson correlation analysis method to analyze the close degree of interrelationship as well as the direction among the variables of the four groups, and makes a conclusion that there isn＇t a rather close linear interrelationship between the urbanization of the population and the proportion of the tertiary industry output value. Secondly, on the correlation analysis basis it adopts regression analysis method to analyze the other three set variables that there is high correlation and sets up a relevant regression model Finally, it briefly analyzes the calculation result of the regression model with the relevant regional economics theory. Meanwhile, it puts forward that Shanxi Province should regard optimizing the industrial structure as the focus of the coming period, which promotes the development of the level of population urbanization .