世界光伏发电产业的发展与展望

The Development and Prospects of World Photovoltaic Industry

根据欧洲光伏工业协会(EPIA)对全球以及世界主要光伏产业国家的情景预测结果,结合其他相关资料,探讨了世界光伏发电产业的现状,分析了世界光伏产业的发展趋势。目前光伏发电的成本较高,发展速度受政府的扶持政策影响很大,光伏发电作为一种清洁的可再生能源将逐步成为世界能源供应的主体,在许多国家政府的支持下世界光伏产业发展经历了飞速发展的十年,累计装机容量和新增市场达到历史新高。但是,各国的发展很不平衡,特别是受全球经济衰退的影响,一些国家的光伏发电发展速度受政策调整影响有所放慢,不过从长期来看世界光伏产业的发展非常乐观,特别是我国政府为了克服经济发展的能源瓶颈和发展内需的决策,有望在不久的将来成为世界三大光伏发电市场之一。

According to EPIA（ the European Photovoltaic Industry Association）＇ s predicts of the world＇s major PV industry countries as well as the world as a whole, combining with other relevant information, the status quo of the world＇s photovoltaic power generation and the trends of the world photovoltaie industry will be analyzed.Currently, the high cost of photovoltaic power generation defines the dependency of industry development from the Government＇ supportive policies. As a clean renewable energy, photovoltaic power is likely to be the main source of the world＇s energy supply. With government support, the World PV industry has experienced a rapid increase in the decade, meanwhile, the total installed capacity and the increasing markets have reached an all-time high. However, as the uneven developments among countries, especially as the consequences of the current global economic recession, the increasing of photovoltaic power generation in some countries has slowed by the impact of policy change. However, the development of the world photovoltaic industry is optimistic in a long run, especially for China＇s efficient policies which aims to overcome the shortage of energy supply in economic development and stimulate the domestic demand as well. In the near future, China is expected to become one of the three leading PV markets in the world.