初速和弹道系数对毁歼概率的影响

Influence of Flight Goal Parameter on Burst Firing Kill Probability of AA Gun Weapon System

针对毁歼概率是决定系统效能的重要因素,采用辛普森数值积分法,应用MATLAB软件构建高炮武器系统着发毁歼概率模型。通过改变初速和弹道系数,分析弹道诸元、偏差量诸元、目标命中区域面积、强相关误差变化情况与毁歼概率关系,得出提高初速或减小弹道系数,有利于提高毁歼概率。

Kill probability is an important factor to determine systematic efficiency. By means of the binomial theorem and simpson＇ s numerical value integration method, burst firing kill probability model of AA gun was constructed by use of Matlab software. By utilizing this model, favorable firing height and firing distance were established at first, typical parameter of air route was then chosen as the research parameter in the whole effective firing airspace. At last, through changing the movement speed and elevating angle of the flight target on this air route, the relationship between its change and kill probability was analyzed. The results showed that increase of flight target movement speed is not beneficial to improving kill probability. Fired at climbing flight target before the shortcut of air route can be obviously to improve kill probability.