港口竞争合作博弈分析——以上海港和宁波港为例

Analysis of game theory for coopetition of ports

港口之间的合作竞争关系越来越受到关注。文中以上海港和宁波港为例,从博弈论的角度进行分析,首先探讨了基于囚徒困境模型下的单阶段的策略,然后重点研究了在重复博弈下两个港口的策略问题,且在后一种情况下港口之间存在合作的可能性,并分析了合作策略所需的条件。

The relationship of coopetition between ports gets more and more attention. This paper analyzes the ports of Shanghai and Ningbo for instance from the angle of game theory. At first, discuss the model based on the Prisoner＇ s Dilemma under the single - stage strategy, and then focus on the reported games. And in the later strategy exists the possibility of cooperation if the ports take suitable decision when face the threat of Speculation, for example, grim strategy, punishment strategy, tit for tat strategy. Further more, analyze the conditions under cooperation and give advices.