西部城乡居民消费需求对西部GDP贡献的实证分析

An Empirical Analysis of Contribution of Consumption Demand about Urban and Rural Residents to Western GDP

文章选取1995—2007年西部12省区各项消费需求和GDP的数据,运用指标比较和计量模型方法对西部城乡居民消费需求对西部GDP的直接和间接贡献分别做了分析。分析结果表明:居民消费,尤其是农村居民消费对西部GDP的贡献力越来越小。以此为基础,文章进一步指出,西部经济增长的关键是扩大居民,尤其是农村居民的消费需求,而消费需求的扩大必须依靠收入水平的提高。

This text analyses contribution rate of consumption demand about urban and rural residents to western GDP directly and indirectly based on the data from 1995 to 2007, adopting index compare and measure model. The result indicates, the consumption of residents, especially rural residents, contribution to western GDP becoming smaller and smaller. And provide the policy conclusion of the simple enlargement resident＇s consumption demand on the basis of this conclusion. The article points out that the key to the economic growth of western is to expand the consumption demand of residents, especially rural residents. The enlargement of the consumption demand must depend on the improvement of income level.