摘要
中国在一个制造业大国的基础上努力推动高技术产业的发展,所以高技术产业和传统制造业之间的联动演化关系对于制定良好的产业发展政策非常重要。本研究从我国高技术产业和传统制造业之间的联动演化关系出发,在两个产业演化发展规律的基础上通过传染病模型分析两种产业种群之间联动演化关系。研究发现我国的高技术产业和传统制造业之间相互促进的作用非常小,而且制造业企业数对高技术企业数的变化存在一定的限制作用,这种关系在一定程度上反映了中国产业结构的健康状况,并可为国家发展高技术产业提供一定程度的政策参考。
Chinese government has been promoted the development of high- tech industry hardly, but has to face the reality in which manufacturing industry play an important role in national economy. In this paper, reciprocity effect between high - tech industry and traditional manufacturing industry was investigated from the view of their relationship which can reflect development level of these indus- tries. Statistics data of high - tech enterprises and manufacturing enterprises was inquired from National Bureau of Statistics, and was analyzed with infectious diseases model. The study discovered evolution laws of two industries in detail that reciprocity effect between China' s high - teeh industry and traditional manufacturing industry is very faintness, and more, existing manufacture enterprises even produce some restrictions for the development of high - tech industrial in a certain, though the effect is weak, it' s worthy of deep thought. The conclusion can be as reference for the policy - decision of national high - teeh industries.
出处
《科学学研究》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第10期1523-1527,共5页
Studies in Science of Science
基金
国家自然科学基金资助项目(70673010)
关键词
高技术产业
制造业
演化规律
high-tech industry
manufacturing industry
evolution law