摘要
采用中国1983～2007年时间序列样本数据,运用协整检验和格兰杰因果关系检验,研究了FDI、出口贸易结构、进口贸易结构与国内就业之间的关系。经验分析表明:出口贸易结构、FDI与国内就业之间存在正向关系,进口贸易结构对国内就业没有显著的影响,而资本深化与国内就业之间呈负相关关系,"资本替代劳动效应"现象明显。提高工业制成品出口比例、把劳动密集型产业作为利用外商投资的重要领域对国内就业有着重要的战略意义。
Based on the data of China from 1983 to 2007, this paper deeply studies the relationship among FDI, structure of export trade, structure of import trade and employment with Cointegration Test and Granger Causality Test. The emprical analysis shows that there is a kind of stable, long - term positive correlation between FDI, structure of export trade and employment, but structure of import trade has no obvious effect on employment. While the relationship is negative between capital deepening and employment, there is the obvious phenomenon of capital instead of labor. It is the important Strategic significance for domestic employment by increasing the proportion of manufactured goods export and using the labor - intensive industries as important areas for foreign direct investment.
