丹皮(垫江)生产的经济分析

Economic Analysis on the Production of Paeonia suffruticosa Andr.

【研究目的】指导丹皮产业化生产。【方法】以2008年重庆市垫江县社会经济发展状况、丹皮市场行情为基础,采用农业项目投资评估的方法,开展丹皮生产(20hm2,r=10%)的经济分析。【结果】估算投入93.5万元,投资利润率8.4%、NPV5.29万元、IRR13.3%,产量及就地销售价格的盈亏平衡点(动态)分别为4830kg/hm2和11.2元/kg,销售价格对NPV的影响最敏感。【结论】丹皮生产具有一定经济、社会效益,但存在市场风险。

[OBJECTIVE]To guide the industrialization of Paeonia suffruticosa Andr.[METHOD]By the analytical method of agricultural project investment evaluation,economic analysis on the planting project of P.suffruticosa Andr.（20hm2,r=10%） is carried out basis on the social and economic development of Dianjiang county in 2008 and the market situation of P.suffruticosa Andr.[RESULTS]The total project investment estimated is RMB 935 000,investmental profit margin 8.4%,The NPV is RMB 52 900,IRR 13.3%.The break-even point of yield and spot sale price was 4 830 kg/hm2, 11.2 RMB/kg respectively. The effect of spot sale price on NPV is most sensitive. [CONCLUSIONIIt has some social and economic benefit to plant P. suffruticosa Andr., but with some market risk.