未来能源的选择

THE CHOICE FOR FUTURE ENERGY

对人类目前面临的能源现状进行了客观分析，提出人类在经历了生物质（以木材为主）、煤和石油三代能源之后，天然气将是人类第四代能源的最佳候选对象。在天然气资源中，除常规天然气以外，非常规天然气将会在人类未来的能源构成中扮演越来越重要的角色，其中非生物成因天然气、深成油气、天然气水合物及煤层甲烷将是未来能源勘探和开发的重要研究领域和发展方向。基于对未来能源的选择和对中国能源现状的分析，提出了我国未来能源发展的若干建议，即：近期开展西北油气地质基础理论研究；中期开展天然气，特别是非生物成因天然气研究；远期开展月球３Ｈｅ同位素资源（核聚变原料）开发技术预研究。

This paper made an objective analysis for energy state that the mankind faced now and pointed out that mankind have experiened three generational energies such as biomass (maily lumber), coal and petroleum, and that natural gas will be the optimum choice for human being′s fouth generational energy. Besides conventional natural gas, unconventional natural gases will become more and more important members in human being′s future energy constitution. Among the unconventional natural gases, abiogenic gas, deep oil and gas, gas hydrates and coalbed gas will be the most important research area and developing directions for future energy exploration and development. Based on the future energy choice and China′s energy state analytical results, the authors raised some future energy developing suggestions for our country. These are: Recently, research on basical oil and gas geological theory for the north west parts of China; Near future, research on natural gas, especialy on abiogenic gas and Future, pre research on the moon′s 3Heisotopic resource (raw material for nuclear fusion) development technique.