关于城市消防总队配置消防车数量预测问题的数学模型

A MATHEMATICAL MODEL FOR ESTIMATING THAT HOW MANY FIRE ENGINES SHOULD BE EQUIPPED TO THE FIRE BRIGADE OF A LARGE CITY

本文利用伪随机数对某些实际的随机事件流及与之相关的预测问题进行随机动态模拟，以配置消防车数量的预测为例建立了数学模型，编出了计算程序，进行了具体求解。实际上这种思想和解法对许多类似的问题均有实用价值。

This paper simulates some practical random events flows and the estimating process connected closely with them random and movingly by means of pseudo random number. As an example, in this paper we have set up a mathematical model on estimating the number of fire engines needed by a fire brigade. In fact, such ideals and methods in our paper are useful to other similar problems.