土地特征与粮食生产、农村贫困关系实证分析——以贵州喀斯特贫困地区为例

An Empirical Analysis of the Relationship among Land Features,Food Production and Rural Poverty——A Case Study of Poverty-stricken Karst Areas in Guizhou

以贵州省喀斯特地区县域经济为对象,通过设置虚拟变量的方式论证了石漠化对粮食产量的影响,结果显示:石漠化对区域粮食产量有着显著影响。通过Probit模型检验的方式论证了导致县域经济致贫的主要影响因素,结果显示:对贵州省喀斯特地区县域经济是否陷入贫困具有显著影响的因素主要有:第一产业在生产总值中所占比例,上年和今年城乡居民储蓄存款余额以及与农民生产生活关系密切的涉农因素,如经济作物发展状况和乡镇企业单位数。

This paper makes a case study of the county economy in Karst region of Guizhou Province. By setting the dummy variable the impacts of desertification on food production were analyzed and it indicated that rock desertification has a significant impact on regional food production. Through using Probit model factors leading to poverty were examined and it showed that in Karst region of Guizhou Province, deciding factors of the county economy include the proportion of the primary industry in GDP, the he balance of savings deposits of urban and rural residents in the previous and current year and such agriculture - related factors as the development of economic crops and the number of township enterprises.