产业内贸易与经济增长:基于协整关系的分析

Co-integration Analysis of the Relationship between Intra-industry Trade and GDP in China

运用Engle-Granger协整关系检验法和Granger因果关系检验法,利用修正后的产业内贸易指数,对我国1985-2007年间产业内贸易与经济增长之间关系进行实证研究。结果显示这两者之间存在长期稳定的关系,产业内贸易与我国经济增长之间存在双向因果关系,并提出相应的政策建议。

The paper based on co - integration test and Granger causality test, makes an empirical analysis of the relationship between intra - industry trade and economic growth in China by using the data between 1985 and 2007. The result shows that there is a long - term equilibrium relationship between them ; Granger causality test shows that there is a bidirectional causality between intra - industry trade and economic growth. At last, the paper puts forward corresponding proposals.