中国信息产业与经济增长关系实证分析

Empirical study of relationship between information industry and economic growth in China

根据协整理论,利用1991—2007年经济数据对中国信息产业和经济增长的关系进行实证分析,测算该时间跨度信息产业对经济增长的长期和短期弹性,基于ECM检验两者之间是否存在格兰杰因果关系,最后利用广义脉冲响应函数描述两者的互动关系。

Based on co-integration theory,the paper analyzed the relationship between the information industry and China s economic growth with the economic annual data from 1991 to 2007,calculated the long and short elasticity of information industry to economic growth.The ECM checked Granger causality test between information industry and economic growth.Finally,the mutual connection about them was depicted by the generalized impulse response function.