经济周期波动、危机与管控实践及理论再研究——科学管控观与目前中国克服危机的途径及依据

The Cyclical Economic Fluctuation and Crisis:A Restudy of the Theory and Practice in Their Management and Control—The Scientific Outlook on Management and Control vs China's Current Ways and Bases to Overcome the Financial Crisis

资本经济周期性危机的社会经济根源始终是相对需求不足,虽然引爆的具体原因不同。世界经济一体化发展的结果使危机的同步性提高,因此高贸易依存度使中国不可能独善其身。经济周期包括危机、萧条、复苏、高涨四个一般阶段,而危机阶段又包括九个段落,并与金融危机密切相关。认识危机、认识中国自身优劣,才能克服危机。但是,克服危机还需要马克思主义学派的正确理论指导,需要基于中国实践选择突破口和经济杠杆。

Despite its different causes,the socio-economic root cause of the cyclical capital economic crisis is attributed to the relatively insufficient market demands. As a result,the global economic integration raises the possibility of the synchronous crisis ,from which China can be inseparable. The economic cycle has four general stages, that is, crisis, depression, recovery and boom, while the economic crisis stage consists of nine parts and it is closely related to the financial crisis. Only by recognizing the financial crisis as well as China＇ s own advantages and disadvantages, can we overcome it,but the effort needs Marxist theory as its theoretical guidance,and it also requires a breakthrough point as well as economic leverage in accordance with the practice in China.