石油消费与经济增长关系的分析

Analysis of petroleum consuming and economy growth relation

随着中国经济的迅速崛起,石油消费量不断增加。本文分析了石油消费与经济增长之间的关系,选取1980～2007年的数据并运用协整理论和Granger因果关系检验理论,对中国石油消费与经济增长之间的关系进行了实证分析。结论表明:1953～2004年,中国石油消费量与经济增长之间存在协整关系,石油消费量的增加是经济增长的原因;1978～2004年,中国石油消费量与经济增长之间同样存在协整关系,经济增长与石油消费量之间具有显著的单向因果关系。

With China＇s rapid economic rise of oil co nsumption is increasing. This paper analyzes the economic growth of oil consumption and the relationship between the years of 1980 -2007 data to select and apply cointegration theory and Granger causality test theory, China＇s oil consumption and economic growth of the relationship between the empirical analysis. Concluded that ：1953-2004, China＇s oil consumption and economic growth between the cointegration relationship, the increase in oil consumption in the causes of economic growth; 1978 - 2004, China＇s oil consumption and economic growth also exists between the Association The whole relationship between economic growth and oil consumption significantly between the one-way causal relationship.