基于净现值指标的概率分析研究

To Study on Probability Analysing Based on NPV Index

研究了经济评价中的概率分析问题。在敏感性分析的基础上,对主要评价指标—项目净现值的概率分析引用了一种新的方法,实例表明该方法简单可行,为项目经济评价工作提供了新的思路。

Probability analysis in economic appraisal is studied in this paper. On the basis of sensitivity analysis, a new method of probability analysis is applied on main evaluation index of net prevent value （NPV）. An example shows that the method is simple and practical, and provides a new thought to item economic appraisal.