改革开放以来的工业化进程对东部沿海地区经济增长影响的实证研究

The Empirical Research about the Industrialization Progress on Impact of the Economic Growth in Eastern Coastal Areas since the Reform and Opening up

文章采用中国东部沿海11省市改革开放30年以来的时间序列数据,研究了代表工业化水平的空间结构、产业结构、就业结构等指标的变化对东部沿海各省市的影响。研究结果表明,物质资本存量对各地的工业化进程有着显著的影响,且回归系数较大,说明这段时期各地的工业化进程主要是靠投资拉动。在控制了政府干预度、市场化指标等指标后,我们还发现各地的产业结构、就业结构对各地的经济增长的作用显著。对于不同的省份来讲,各指标的作用又有所不同,因此应按照各地的实际情况来制订合理的发展战略和政策来推动本地区的发展。

In this paper, the time - series data of recently 30 years about 11 provinces and cities in eastern coastal china has been used to research the representative industrialization level, including the change of the industrial structure, the structure of employment, urbanization and other indicators, which on the impact of the eastern coastal provinces and cities. The results showed that the physical capital had a significant role in the process of the industrialization and a larger regression coefficient which stand for it＇s progress was mainly driven by investment, controlling of the government intervention, the market indicators and other indicators, we also found that the industrial structure and employment structure played a significantly role of economic growth. For different provinces, the role of the indicators is different. So it shouht be in accordance with their actual situation to formulate a reasonable development strategies and policies to promote the development of different regions.