全球经济“超预期”反弹 政策调整“进退有协调”——全球经济运行的当前特征、未来风险及政策调整

Analysis on the Current Characteristics,Future Risks and Policy Adjustments of the Global Economy Operation

基本观点 ·2009年第5季度，全球经济呈现出反弹力度“超预期”、风险偏好回归“不完全”、通缩风险与通胀风险并存的整体特征。

In the third quarter of 2009,the global economy has shown its general characteristic of unexpected resilience,risk appetite's incomplete return,as well as deflation and inflation risks' coexistence.According to our estimation,the coordination policy would prevail on a worldwide scale with the orderly withdrawal of supernormal stimulus policies.Timely promotion of long-term policy for stimulating healthy economic growth and structural optimization would follow up.Active international coordination would be the remedy in mitigating the negative impact of conflict policies.