贝塔二项模型的估计和预测

Estimation and Prediction for the Beta-Binomial Model

给出了在频率学派框架内以及在贝叶斯的框架内的估计和预测问题,并介绍了此模型的实际应用。详细分析了一个特殊的情况,即有2个实验时的情况,这种情况经常出现在味觉检验、品牌选择、媒体爆炸、流行病学中。

The problems of estimation and prediction in the frequentist and Bayesian framework for the Beta-Binomial model have been addressed in this article,and also the model s applications are introduced.A particular case（when there are two trials）,which often occurs in taste testing,brand choice,media exposure,and some epidemiological applications,is analyzed in detail.