中国创新与知识市场的协整关系实证分析

Empirical Analysis on Co-integrative Relationship between Innovation and Knowledge Market in China

面对全球经济的转型,追求知识进步已成为当今世界促进经济可持续发展的首选方略。从知识市场与技术创新的相互关系入手,建立了专利与技术市场成交额关系的模型,并以1987年-2007年的数据为基础,运用计量经济学中的协整模型对两者进行了实证研究。分析结果表明,中国知识市场的发展与创新之间有着很大的联系,并且两者之间存在长期的稳定关系,文章最后提出了促进创新的相关建议。

With the transition of the global economy, the pursuit of the knowledge has been becoming a preferred ways to promote the sustainable economic development at present. This article begins with the discussion of correlation between the technical innovation and the knowledge market and establishes a model to represent the relations between the patent and the turnover of technology market. Based on the data from 1987 to 2007, the research carries out an empirical analysis with the econometrical co-integration model. The results show that the technical innovation and the development of knowledge market have close connection and a long-term stable relationship. Finally, the article concludes with some practical suggestion.