我国行政管理支出超常增长的实证研究

Empirical Study of Administration Expenditure Transnormal Growth in China

结合我国1978～2006年的经济发展水平、城市化发展水平、对外开放度和物价水平等几个因素，运用协整理论和误差修正模型对行政管理支出的增长进行实证研究。结果表明：长期来说，我国行政管理支出占财政总支出的比重与城市化发展水平、物价水平正相关；与经济发展水平、对外开放度负相关。短期来说，我国行政管理支出占财政总支出的波动主要受物价水平波动的影响。

Based on 1978～2006 years data in China,this article uses cointegration theory and error correction model to analyze the relationship between the administration expenditure growth and the economy development,the urbanization level,the degree of openness,and the price level.The result indicates:In the long run,the proportion of the administration expenditure to the gross fiscal expenditure has positive effect on the urbanization level and the price level;has negative effect on the per capita GDP and the degree of openness.In the short run,the fluctuation of the proportion of the administration expenditure to the gross fiscal expenditure mainly is affected by the price level.