出口贸易与全要素生产率——基于中国各省面板数据的实证分析

Export and Total Factor Productivity:Based on the Provincial Panel Data Analysis

本文沿着新贸易理论和内生增长理论的发展脉络,在核算1998～2007年我国各省全要素生产率的基础上,通过面板单位根检验、协整检验和完全修正最小二乘估计法,实证分析了出口贸易与全要素生产率的关系。研究发现,我国出口增长对我国全要素生产率增长没有产生积极的影响,出口依存度、人力资本能促进各省市全要素生产率的增长,而研发水平和对外直接投资阻碍了我国全要素生产率增长。

The paper computes total factor productivity of 28 provinces from 1998-2007 by Malmquist Productivity Index and applies the panel unit root, heterogeneous panel cointegration and fully modified Ordinary least squares to analyze the relationship between export and total factor productivity. The empirical results show that export increase has no effect on the total factor productivity, Export dependence and human resources could contribute to the total factor productivity. Whereas R＆D and FDI weaken the total factor productivity.