摘要
本文集中讨论了农业贸易条件变化问题。对二十多年来国际上对农业贸易条件趋于恶化的研究进行文献分析表明学者观点并不一致;如果加入产品品质改进因素或者与服务业价格进行比较则表明农业贸易条件并未恶化(下降);能源价格与农产品价格间应该存在内在联动关系;在资源约束既定情况下农业贸易条件可能会相对得到改善。
出处
《农业经济问题》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第11期9-19,共11页
Issues in Agricultural Economy
参考文献31
-
1Balagtas, J. V. , Holt, M. T. , 2009, The Commodity Terms of Trade, Unit Roots, and Nonlinear Ahernatives : A Smooth Transition Approach, American Journal of Agricultural Economics, 91 ( 1 ) : 87 - 105.
-
2Bernard, A. B. , Jones, C. I. , 1996, Comparing Apples to Oranges: Productivity Convergence and Measurement Across Industries and Countries, The American Economic Review, 86(5) : 1216 - 1238.
-
3Berndt, E. R. , Griliches, Z. , 1990, Price Indices for Microcomputers: An Exploratory Study, National Bureau of Economic Research Working Paper 3378.
-
4Cashin, P. , Mcdermott, C. J. , 2006, Properties of International Commodity Prices: Identifying Trends, Cycles and Shocks, Chapter 1 in Alexander Sarris and David Hallam, Agricultural Commodity Markets and Trade: New Approaches to Analyzing Market Structure and Instability.
-
5Colman, D. , Nixson, F. , 1994, Economics of Change in Less Developed Countries, Havester Wheatsheaf, Hemel Hempsted, UK: Simon Schuster International.
-
6Cuddington, J. T. , 1992, Long-Run Trends in 26 Primary Commodity Prices : A Disaggregated Look at the Prebisch-Singer Hypothesis, Journal of Development Economics. 39(2) : 207 -227.
-
7Cuddington, J. T. , Urzua, C. M. , 1989, Trends and Cycles in the Net Barter Terms of Trade: A New Approach, Economic Journal, 99 (396) : 426 -442.
-
8Cypher, J. M. , Dietz, J. L. , 2004, The Process of Economic Development, 2nd Edition, New York: Routledge.
-
9Deb, S. , 2006, Domestic Terms of Trade in a Three-Sector Framework : Analysis for All-India and States ,. Economic and Political Weekly, 41(17) : 1713.
-
10Emmanuel, A. , 1972, Unequal Exchange: A Study of the Imperialism of Trade, New York: Monthly Review Press.
同被引文献15
-
1W. H. Branson, 1972, The Effects of the 1971 Currency Realignment, Brookings Papers on Economic Activity, 1 ( 1 ) :15 - 19.
-
2M. I. Blejer,A. L. Hillman, 1982, A Proposition on Short-Run Departures from the Law of One Price, European Economic Review, 17 (2) :51 -60.
-
3J. Menon, 1996, Exchange Rates and Prices: The Case of Australian Manufactured Imports, Journal of Political Economy,92 (3): 307 - 328.
-
4J. Menon,2001, Exchange Rate Pass-Through : Australian Imports of Motor Vehicles, International Economic Journal, 15 ( 2 ) : 1 - 17.
-
5H. Nakagawa,2010, Investigating Nonlinearities in Real Exchange Rate Adjustment: Threshold Cointegration and the Dynamics of Exchange Rates and Relative Prices, Journal of International Money and Finance ,29 (5) :770 N 790.
-
6T. D. Karoro,M. J. Aziakpono,N. Cattaneo,2009, Exchange Rate Pass-through to Import Prices in South Africa: Is There Asymmetry?, South African Journal of Economics ,77 (3) :380 - 398.
-
7G. Wickremasinghe,2009,Are Real Exchange Rates of Papua New Guinea Mean-Reverting? Evidence from Panel Unit Root Tests,Applied Economics Letters, 16 ( 2 ) : 157 - 161.
-
8B. Larue, J. P. Gervais, Y. Rancourt, 2010, Exchange Rate Pass-through, Menu Costs and Threshold Cointegration, Empirical Economics, 38(1) :171 - 192.
-
9T. Berger, B. Kempa,2011, Bayesian Estimation of the Output Gap for a Small Open Economy : The Case of Canada, Economics Letters, 112(1) :107 -112.
-
10J. Aizenman, S. Edwards, D. Riera-Crichton, 2011, Adjustment Patterns to Commodity Terms of Trade Shocks : The Role of Exchange Rate and International Reserves Policies, Journal of Economic Dynamics and Control,35 (9) : 1502 - 1513.
二级引证文献19
-
1熊正德,文慧,凌语蓉.基于时频分析的农产品期货市场与外汇市场联动关系研究[J].中国管理科学,2013,21(S1):255-263. 被引量:14
-
2王钊,姜松.我国蔬菜价格变动的空间计量分析[J].农业技术经济,2013(11):4-14. 被引量:28
-
3焦娜.开放经济条件下我国农产品价格动态调整的门限协整研究[J].经济经纬,2014,31(2):120-125. 被引量:1
-
4肖小勇,李崇光,李剑.国际粮食价格对中国粮食价格的溢出效应分析[J].中国农村经济,2014(2):42-55. 被引量:75
-
5黄世达,张欣.汇率变动对出口价格传递的非对称效应研究[J].重庆科技学院学报(社会科学版),2014(5):34-36.
-
6丁存振,肖海峰.人民币汇率变动对中国农产品价格的动态传递效应分析——基于TVP-VAR模型[J].中国农业大学学报,2018,23(12):176-186. 被引量:10
-
7李秋萍,李长健,肖小勇.产业链视角下农产品价格溢出效应研究——基于三元VAR-BEKK-GARCH(1,1)模型[J].财贸经济,2014,35(10):125-136. 被引量:28
-
8涂涛涛,李崇光,张玉梅.中国谷物价格波动的传递路径解析[J].华中科技大学学报(社会科学版),2015,29(3):53-62. 被引量:2
-
9孔维升,麻吉亮,薛桂霞.我国农业生产成本与农产品价格的内生性分析——基于PVAR模型[J].中国食物与营养,2015,21(9):44-48. 被引量:1
-
10徐志远,布娲鹣.阿布拉,丁世豪.新丝绸之路背景下中国对哈萨克斯坦出口农产品结构优化研究[J].中国农业资源与区划,2015,36(6):36-41. 被引量:8
-
1刘继兵.战略转变·农民收入·结构调整[J].财经政法资讯,1995,0(4):41-45.
-
2梁俊,龙少波.农业绿色全要素生产率增长及其影响因素[J].华南农业大学学报(社会科学版),2015,14(3):1-12. 被引量:81
-
3杜柬杠.国有工业企业存在的问题与启示[J].冶金管理,1997(7):26-28.
-
4许经勇.改善农业贸易条件的重要途径──农业产业化[J].理论探讨,1996(4):43-46.
-
5赵峥.我国农村集体建设用地流转的历程,问题与启示——以广东省东莞市为例[J].调研世界,2008(8):26-28. 被引量:4
-
6巴西阿根廷土地问题与启示[J].重庆国土房产,2007(5):32-35.
-
7卜海.多哈回合受挫后的农产品国际贸易发展前景研判[J].国际贸易问题,2008(12):37-42.
-
8高智松.关于促进农民增收财政政策的文献综述[J].商业文化,2011,0(4X):108-108.
-
9李敏,曾旭.浅议企业社会责任中利益相关者的范围[J].大江周刊(论坛),2010(3):84-84.
-
10周静杰.关于我国农业利用外商直接投资偏少原因的文献综述[J].经济师,2009(10):256-257.