摘要
利用政府在进口限制和出口鼓励两方面的政策倾向将外贸发展战略进行分类,进而通过五项指标衡量中国政策倾向的高低程度,将中国外贸发展战略的历程划分为进口替代(1949～1978)、混合(1979～1992)、激进的出口导向(1993～2001)以及自由化的出口导向(2002～今)四个阶段。通过构建外贸发展战略的形成机制研究其演变的动因,研究表明经济发展的"二元目标"结构转变、国内外制约因素的变化在政府、企业利益最大化的经济行为下,促使了外贸发展战略连续的演变。
This paper classifies China＇s trade development strategy （TDS） into four categories in accordance with the relative weight the Chinese government has attached to import restriction and export support. Trade development is then divided into four stages： import substitution from 1949 to 1978, mixed strategy between 1979 and 1992, radical export oriented policy during 1993 and 2001, and liberal export promotion ever since 2002. This paper also investigates the pushing forces behind the evolution of China＇s TDS by studying the mechanism for the formation of TDS in China. Our findings indicate that together with the changes in domestic and international constraints under the maximization of profits by the government and firms, the structural transformation of the ＂dual-goals＂ of economic development has given rise to the successive evolution of TDS in China.
出处
《山东大学学报（哲学社会科学版）》
CSSCI
北大核心
2009年第6期22-30,共9页
Journal of Shandong University(Philosophy and Social Sciences)
关键词
进口替代
激进的出口导向
自由化的出口导向
混合战略
import substitution
radical export promotion
liberal export promotion
mixed strategy
