集群经济发达地区经济增长与就业变动趋势实证分析——以绍兴为个案研究

Analysis about the Economy Growth and the Employment Alteration Trend in the Group Economy Developed Area——Research on the case based on the Shaoxing

绍兴GDP增长率、就业增长率和就业弹性变化趋势基本上一致,三次产业吸纳就业的能力不同,1994—2006年,第一产业的平均就业弹性为-0.77,第二产业为0.21,第三产业为0.26。绍兴经济增长与就业关系变动的特点与绍兴集群经济发达的特点密切相关。绍兴集群经济演进及就业结构变动趋势对扩大就业的启示是:发展生产性服务业;促进传统服务业转型升级;把青年劳动力作为就业和创业扶助的瞄准点;保持灵活的就业渠道,弥补经济增速下滑的失业损失;发挥政府职能,降低自然失业率。

The GDP growth rate of Shaoxing, the employment growth rate is in accordance with the employment the flexibility the variety the trend basically, three times industry absorbs the ability of the employment of 纳 dissimilarity,1994-2006 years, the average employment flexibility of the first industry is-0.77, the second industry is 0.21, the third industry is 0.26.The economy of Shaoxing increases to relate to characteristics and Shaoxing of the fluctuation with employment to gather a group of economic flourishing char- acteristics closely related.Shaoxing gather a cluster of the economy evolves and takes up employment the structure the fluctuation trend to the apocalypse of the extension employment is：develop the production servicing business;promote the traditional servicing business transformation upgrade;the youth labor force conduct and actions employment and start a business to help of aiming point; keep the vivid employment outlet, unemployed loss that make up the economy to increase to fall soon;Exertive government working talent, lower the natural jobless rate.