解读美国反恐兵力部署政策调整

An Analysis on U.S. Policy Adjustment of Counter-terror Forces Deployment

撤兵伊拉克和增兵阿富汗是奥巴马政府恢复美国全球领导地位的重要组成部分。伊拉克战争缺乏合法性,美国在伊拉克的军事存在本身成为伊拉克局势恶化的原因之一,撤兵主要是稳定局势的需要;阿富汗战争虽具一定的合法性,但反恐形势趋于严峻,增兵阿富汗则主要是防止阿富汗和巴基斯坦成为恐怖主义的策源地。从长远来看,美不会放弃在伊拉克和阿富汗的既得地缘战略利益,美在两国的军事存在将成为美全球基地体系的一部分。

Both withdrawal from Iraq and expansion in Afghanistan are Barack Obama＇s efforts to renew American leadership. The Iraq War is an illegal action, and U.S. military presence is by itself one of the causes of the worsened situation. Withdrawal from Iraq is the measure necessary to stabilize the security situation in Iraq. The Afghanistan War, though legal in some way, yet the situation is becoming more severe. Expansion in Afghanistan is to prevent Afghanistan and Pakistan turning into sources of global terrorism. In the long term, the U.S. will not easily give up the already held geopolitical interests in Iraq and Afghanistan, and U.S. military presence in the two countries will both be parts of U.S. global military base structure.