消费拉动经济的趋势预测模型研究——以河北省为例

The Study of Models to Forecast Trend for Consumption Pulls up the Economy——Taking Hebei province for example

通过建立ARIMA模型,对河北省最终消费额与地区生产总值进行预测,并做出2008—2010年河北省消费拉动经济百分点预测。

Via establishing of ARIMA models,the amount of final consumption and regional GDP in Hebei province are predicted,and forecasting the percentage points of consumption pulls up the economy in Hebei Province between 2008 and 2010.