经济增速与用电量短期背离现象研究

Research on the Short-Term Deviate Phenomenon Between Economic Growth and Electric Power Generation

在反映经济发展的指标体系中,用电量是一个同步指标。中国经济目前处于工业化中期阶段,经济特征是以高耗能经济、资源输出型经济为主导,经济发展与用电量具有紧密关联性。金融危机以来,用电量数字成为考察经济是否复苏的一个重要指标。用电量与经济增速的同步相关性在大多数时间里表现为周期变动规律趋同的特征,由于金融危机造成的短暂影响,相关数据出现了一定的背离现象。这是在特定条件下的短期现象,不会是一个长期态势。

In the economic development index system,electric power generation is a synchro index.Since China’s economy is in the medium-term stage of industrialization at present,highly consumes of energy and output of resources is the main character of economy style,and economic development is closely related with electric power generation.Electric power generation figure becomes an important index to observe the recovery of economy in the financial crisis.In the most time economic growth and electric power generation appear synchro correlativity Character, but there emerged a deviate phenomenon caused by financial crisis. This is only a short-term phenomenon and it will not continue too long.