中国经济波动产业层面特征事实研究

An Empirical Study on Industrial Level Fluctuations of the Chinese Economy

总结经济波动中的特征事实已经成为周期研究的一个重要领域,本文从供给角度着眼,运用数理统计方法,从产业层面研究中国经济波动,总结特征事实,以期对中国经济波动研究提供基础支撑,从而有利于在应用研究中,更加注重中国经济波动的特异性,更好地结合中国经济波动的现实情况。

Summing up the stylized facts of economic fluctuation has become an important area in cyclical research. From the supply point of view, this paper has studied Chinese economic fluctuation and summarized the seven stylized facts from industrial level by using mathematical statistical methods. With a view to provide a basis for Chinese economic fluctuation research, which is conducive to make greater emphasis on the specificity of Chinese economic fluctuation and make a better combination of the realities of Chinese economic fluctuation when doing foreign-cycle theory and model application study.