摘要
针对近年来我国民航反复发生的运输飞机看错、落错跑道现象,统计了近12年我国民航发生的17起不安全事件;利用修正后的M-SHEL模型确定了导致该类事件的6个方面的原因;基于灰色关联分析法按照对事件影响程度的大小将各要素进行排序,其影响因素依次为:生命件即机组自身的原因、环境的原因、管理原因、外围生命件原因、软件的原因。笔者认为,飞机看错、落错跑道是多因素共同作用的结果,应从航空公司、机场、空管、局方等角度采取系统改善策略,以防范该类事件的再次发生。
In order to find out the causes of civil aviation transport aircraft's mistaken alignment with or landing on wrong runway that has occurred repeatedly in recent years in China and put forward preventive measures, a statistics on 17 unsafe events happening in China's civil aviation industry in the recent 12 years was made. Six aspects of causes for this kind of events are decided by using a revised M-SHEL model. Meanwhile, based on gray correlation analysis, the main affecting factors were arranged in order as follows: the crew, the environment, the management, the outside live things and the software. It is concluded that this kind of events result from multiple factors, and so, systematic strategies should be carried out from different perspectives such as airlines, airport authority, air traffic management agency and civil aviation regulators.
出处
《中国安全科学学报》
CAS
CSCD
北大核心
2009年第10期28-35,共8页
China Safety Science Journal
关键词
安全
防范
跑道安全
混淆
错误跑道
safety
prevent
runway safety
confusion
wrong runway