入境旅游业国际竞争力影响因素的实证分析

Empirical Analysis to Influencing Factors of International Competitiveness of Inbound Tourism

本文研究的目的是通过建立竞争力影响因素与竞争力结果的因果关系模型分析各个竞争力影响因素的相对重要性。本文将入境旅游业国际竞争力的影响因素概括为八个因素,分别是旅游接待能力、旅游交通通达度、旅游资源、旅游资本、旅游企业竞争能力、经济环境、政府支持力度和人才资源等。以2007年中国31个省市的数据为样本进行回归分析,由于这八个因素存在着较严重的多重共线性,本文采用主成份回归方法,以消除变量之间的多重共线性。回归结果显示这八个影响因素按其重要性排序依次是经济环境、旅游交通通达度、旅游资本、旅游接待能力、政府支持力度、旅游企业竞争能力、旅游资源和人才资源。

The paper is to establish a model between the influencing factors and the results of the international competitiveness of inbound tourism, so that we can analyze the relative importance of the factors. This paper summarizes the eight main factors which affect the international competitiveness of inbound tourism, namely, tourism reception capacity, transportation accessibility, tourism resources, tourism capital, competitiveness of tourism enterprises, economic environment, the government supports, and human resources. By using 31 provincial and municiple data in 2007 as samples, this paper conducts the principal component regression analysis, in order to eliminate muhicollinearity between the indepe importance as the government support, ndent variables. Regression analysis shows that these eight factors are sorted according to their economic environment, transportation accessibility, tourism capital, tourism reception capacity, and the competitiveness of tourism enterprises, tourism resources and human resources.