ARIMA模型对社会消费品零售总额的拟合应用

Fitting Application Based on ARIMA Model in the Social Retailgoods

主要讨论求和自回归移动平均(AR IMA)模型在我国社会消费品零售总额序列分析中的拟合应用,通过SAS/ETS软件中的AR IMA过程实现对该时间序列的季节自回归移动平均(SAR IMA)模型的拟合和分析,得到理想结果。

This paper mainly discusses the fitting application of the autoregressive integrated moving average（ARIMA） model in the social retailgoods.Use the ARIMA process in the SAS/ETS to achieve the fitting of the spring autoregressive integrated moving average（SARIMA） model and get perfect result.