基于主成分分析的区域物流需求预测指标研究

Research on the Forecasting Indices of Regional Logistics Demand Based on PCA

首先分析了我国物流统计现状,指出我国区域物流统计制度体系仍然存在不足,制约了区域物流需求预测的研究;对比欧美国家预测物流需求时的指标数,说明我国区域物流预测指标中存在的问题;最后,以湖北省区域物流需求预测为例,运用主成分分析法把影响区域物流需求的多个指标综合为两个主成分指标,能为区域物流需求预测指标研究提供一定的参考。

This paper first analyzes the current situation of the statistical study of logistics in China and illustrates the existing problems in the forecasting index system by a comparative study. Finally, a case study with the regional logistics demand forecasting in Hubei province is presented.