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列车运行图的晚点概率分析 被引量:9

The Analysis of Delaying Time Probability for the Travelling Graph of Trains
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摘要 不同的列车运行图在实际应用中其正点率不同。通过对列车运行图结构的分析,推导出求列车运行图任意一点处晚点的概率公式,分析了晚点概率与缓冲时间之间的关系,继而给出了求缓冲时间的合理分布方法。最后提供了评估列车运行图的可实施性质量指标的一个参考公式。 Different travelling graphs of trains have different proportions of punctuality in the practical application. Through the analysis of the structure of the travelling graph of trains, a formula of the delaying time probability at arbitrary point in the traveling graph of trains is deduced. By the analysis of the linkage between the delaying time, probability and the buffer time, a reasonable distribution method of finding buffer time is then given. A reference formula of the assessment of the viable criterion in quality in the travelling graph of trains is offered finally.
出处 《长沙铁道学院学报》 CSCD 1998年第4期83-89,共7页 Journal of Changsha Railway University
关键词 列车运行图 运行图 晚点 缓冲 概率 travelling graph delaying time buffer probability
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